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64

// PUBLIC GAMING INTERNATIONAL // May/June 2016

its stakeholders, and huge income for the

businesses attached to its production. The

Super Bowl is once a year. Since it is so suc-

cessful, why don’t they try to reconfigure

the whole football schedule of competi-

tions so that you have two or three Super

Bowls a year? It could be done, but you

can see why it wouldn’t work. The whole

media frenzy and consumer excitement

that happens once a year could not be rep-

licated that way. There are regular season

football games the consumer loves and that

generate income for the shareholders of the

businesses that support the whole football

industry. Likewise, Powerball and Mega

Millions games produce the lottery “Su-

per Bowls” when the jackpot runs up to a

new record. And we have our big portfolio

of games to complement our Super Bowl

games of Powerball and Mega Millions.

Capping the jackpot size may produce

some positive benefits to the long-term

health of the game, but we do not know

that it would. We do know that the residual

impacts would be both positive and nega-

tive and not entirely predictable.

Further to this analogy … is there a

point at which the excitement over the

Super Bowl gets to be so high that con-

sumer expectations recalibrate such that

it might be hard to replicate the follow-

ing year? Perhaps. But, would you think

you should manage expectations or cap the

level of enthusiasm for the Super Bowl?

The big Powerball and Mega Millions

jackpots are like the Super Bowl. They are

special events with a life and character all

their own. The whole dynamic of how ris-

ing jackpots affect the marketplace involve

complex issues with a multitude of inter-

acting parts. We just want to be cautious

in how we manage that.

The media coverage also brought in new con-

sumer groups.

R. Hargrove:

Once this record run hit

the stratosphere of $528 million, then

$948 million, then $1.58 billion, we be-

gan to see a whole new level of consumer

impact. As media coverage reached new

heights, the impact on non-players also

reached new heights. It is estimated that

the record jackpot run attracted 10 mil-

lion new players to the lottery. That is ab-

solutely amazing. Think about it. That’s

10 million consumers who have never re-

ally paid attention to the lottery before,

who paid attention for the first time be-

cause of the massive media coverage, and

now they will notice those billboards and

commercials and in-store POS like they

never did before.

I am not saying we shouldn’t be con-

cerned about rising consumer expecta-

tions. I am just pointing out that the

positive residual impact of jackpot fever

is huge, and it is complex and multi-

faceted. That is why we need to be very

thoughtful about trying to “manage” it.

How does all the attention given to Powerball

during a jackpot fever run impact sales of the

other lottery products?

R. Hargrove:

One of the things that

happened with this jackpot run, at least

in Tennessee and I know in many other

states as well, is that people who had

never bought a ticket before got excited

about the lottery. They went into the

stores and saw how easy it is to buy a

ticket. And while they were there, some

of them bought an instant ticket and

discovered how fun that was, as well.

Many lotteries posted record sales across

the entire portfolio of lottery products.

Tennessee’s highest instant ticket sales in

history were in January, the same month

as the record Powerball jackpot. Our sec-

ond highest instant ticket sales in history

were in March; our third highest were in

February. So we saw a spike in all of our

games because we had new players in the

game. Now that may not be the case ev-

erywhere, or in a state where the lottery

has been there for 40 years. In Tennessee

and many other states, the record jackpot

created a level of excitement and engage-

ment that is having a powerful residual

impact on our entire business.

The question of how much is too much comes

up almost every time there is a record jackpot.

R. Hargrove:

It came up 25 years ago

when Florida’s in-state game reached

$100 million for the first time in the U.S.

I was the director and there were some

legislators who protested that the jackpot

should be capped, that no single player

needed to win a $100 million. I point-

ed out that no one is forced to play that

particular game. There are lots of lottery

games with better odds to win a smaller

jackpot. There are games to appeal to

practically every price-point, every play

style, and every value proposition. Why

not let the consumer decide?

The community of lottery directors has been

exploring the possibility of launching a new

national premium game. There are lots of

regional games, games that are played across

multiple jurisdictions. The benefits of a re-

gional game model is that it does not require

the consensus of all 44 lotteries and it can

scale up as it proves to be successful. Plus the

cost of terminating it if it is not successful is

contained. Which leaves the question: What

are the benefits of a national game over re-

gional games?

R. Hargrove:

The more general issue is

the way in which the community of lot-

tery directors should explore and think

about the best ways to evolve the portfo-

lio of multi-state games. Regional games

are an important part of the portfolio. Be-

fore cross-sell started in 2010, Powerball

and Mega Millions were regional games.

There will always be room for regional

games. Regional games are terrific. In

fact, if a game works well on a regional

basis, that’s how it should be done.

However, there are some specific objec-

tives that can be best achieved only with

large-scale national games. For instance, the

liquidity delivered with the maximum pop-

ulation base is what drives those large jack-

pots of Powerball and Mega Millions. The

benefit of a new national premium game

is the possibility for new price-points and

a wider variety of value propositions to be

applied to draw-based games. The growth

of instant games over the past 20 years is

largely attributed to the simple process of

Rebecca Hargrove Interview

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