Among many parts of public policy and federal law that may change under President Donald Trump, some in the sports world are wondering if the former casino owner might be particularly inclined to support the legalization of sports betting.
It is an effort that has seen a groundswell in the past few years, arguably reignited thanks to an influential and well-received 2014 op-ed in the New York Times by NBA Commissioner Adam Silver, arguing in favor of changing the law. “Despite legal restrictions, sports betting is widespread,” Silver wrote. “It is a thriving underground business that operates free from regulation or oversight… The laws on sports betting should be changed. Congress should adopt a federal framework that allows states to authorize betting on professional sports, subject to strict regulatory requirements and technological safeguards.”
Trump may be inclined to agree—or at least, those with skin in the game hope so. They believe that his past as a casino owner in Atlantic City, among other things, might make him favorable to a change in gambling law, although he did not overtly address the issue on the campaign trail.
The closest Trump has come to commenting on the issue recently was in an interview with Fox Sports Radio host Colin Cowherd in November of last year. Cowherd asked, “Are you pro- or anti- fantasy [sports] and gambling?” Trump replied, “I’m okay with it because it’s happening anyway. Whether you have it or you don’t have it, you have it… it’s all over the place.”
He also signaled support back in 1993, when he spoke to an NBC reporter in New Jersey about the effort to peel back the then-new federal ban on sports betting. “It’s vital to keeping your taxes low, it’s vital to the senior citizens, and it’s vital to putting the bookies out of business,” he said. “Everybody wants it, we do polls showing 80% in favor.”
Trump’s spokesperson declined to comment for this story. “There’s no reason to believe that expanding prohibition is on his agenda,” writes the DC nonprofit research firm R Street, “or that he would be opposed to greater liberalization, especially if it can create or increase revenue streams for his economic agenda.”
The American Gaming Association is among many that are optimistic about sports gambling’s chances under Trump. The lobbying group, which represents casinos and gaming companies, has sent a memo to Trump’s transition team urging him to support sports betting, and on Tuesday afternoon will hold a press conference to discuss the memo.
In a statement sent ahead of time to Yahoo Finance, the AGA says, “We’re encouraged by President-elect Trump’s acknowledgement of a vast illegal sports betting market and his previous support for legalizing betting in New Jersey. The status quo, a $150 billion illegal market, is unsustainable and we look forward to working with the Trump administration and the new Congress to make progress on this.”
The two relevant federal laws in question are the Interstate Wire Act of 1961, which made it a crime to use wire communications to place bets, and the Professional and Amateur Sports Protection Act of 1992, or PASPA, which banned sports betting everywhere except Nevada (with additional exceptions in Delaware, Montana, and Oregon, and for jai alai and parimutuel horse-racing). The AGA estimates that $90 billion will be bet just on football games this year (pro and college), and that 98% of the bets will be made illegally under PASPA.
A recent AGA study using Nielsen data concluded that if sports betting were legalized, the number of regular-season sports viewers betting on games would jump from 40 million to 57 million, or 36% of the NFL audience. In other words, big TV networks have a stake in this movement as well. And pro sports leagues have been gearing up for what may be an inevitability.